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Join the Discussion
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"I am planning on
buying into a tax-free municipals fund such as
one of the Franklin funds. I understand one can
buy "A" shares with up-front expense loading, or
"B" shares where expense loading doesn't occur
until one sells." -
DoctorJeff91 |
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Gross
Margin
The first thing we do is calculate the company's gross margin. Taking
the gross profit of $558,034 and dividing it by $1,364,853, we come up with
.40996, or almost 41%. Applying the same calculation to previous years, we
find that in 2002, company's gross margin was 41.2%, compared with 43.7% in
1999. As a potential owner of the business, you want to find out why the
gross margin is falling, and if the trend is expected to continue. If the
industry is hit hard by economic conditions, calculate the gross margins over
the past three years for Abercrombie's competitors [such as Pacific Sunwear,
Gap, or American Eagle] to see if they are experiencing the same problem.
Operating Margin:
We calculate the operating margin as 19.9% during 2001, 20.5% in 2000, and
23.5% in 1999.
Interest Coverage Ratio:
You will notice that the interest income is recorded as net. If
you think back to the lesson, you should remember that this means the total
interest expense and interest income were added together to offset one another
and the resulting figure recorded. In Abercrombie's case, the company
recorded -5,064 in interest.
Using this information to
calculate the interest coverage ratio, we take the earnings before interest and
taxes [EBIT], of $271,458, and divide it by the total interest expense of
$5,064. The answer is 53.60. What does this mean? The company
can afford to make its interest payments 53+ times. Obviously, it is going
to have no problem making its relatively miniscule payments.
Net Profit Margin:
In 2001, Abercrombie had a profit margin of 12.4%. In 2000, the profit
margin was 12.8%, while in 1999, it stood at 14.5%. Once again, this
doesn't mean much unless you compare it to the profit margins of competitors.
Even then, it may be inaccurate because of pricing strategy [for instance,
Neiman Marcus may have a slightly higher profit margin than Wal-Mart, but that
is because of the two retailers have different pricing strategies and business
models.] Return on
Equity - ROE
Here's where we get to the juice. To quickly calculate Abercrombie's
return on equity, take the average shareholders' equity [$595,434+422,700
÷ 2] of $509,067 and divide
it into the net profit of $168,672. The answer, .3313, or 33.13%, is the
return that management is earning on the retained profits. Obviously, your
pocketbook will be much faster enriched if you allow the company to retain all
of the profits instead of paying them out as dividends [can you reinvest the
earnings at 33%? Probably not!] If
both Abercrombie and a competitor were selling for ridiculously cheap [say 3
times earnings], you would want to go with the business that was generating the
highest return on shareholder equity. Considering the average corporation
earns between 10 and 15% on its equity, Abercrombie's high ROE should make your
mouth water. Asset Turnover
Taking Abercrombie's average assets of $680,061.5 [$770,546+$589,577
÷ 2], and dividing it into
the total revenue of $1,364,853, we find the company has an asset turn of 2.0.
There are several general rules
that should be kept in mind when calculating asset turnover. First, asset turn
is meant to measure a companys efficiency in using its assets. The higher the
number, the better [although investors must be sure compare a business to its
industry. It is fallacy to compare completely unrelated businesses.] The higher
a company's asset turnover, the lower its profit margin tends to be [and visa
versa]. Return on
Assets
Multiplying the 12.4% net profit margin by the 2.0 asset turn, we get .248,
or 24.8% return on assets. Using the second formula, we divide the net
income of $168,672 by the $680,061.5 average assets, which we discover is .248
or 24.8%. Share
dilution
As a conservative investor, you should base your valuation on the diluted
earnings per share. Unfortunately, if you remember back to our discussion
on share dilution, you haven't forgotten the clandestine tactics Abercrombie
took by not including all possible stock option dilution in the diluted
EPS figure:
From Abercrombie & Fitchs 10K:
Options to purchase 5,630,000,
9,100,000 and 5,600,000 shares of Class A Common Stock were outstanding at
year-end 2001, 2000 and 1999, respectively, but were not included in the
computation of net income per diluted share because the options exercise prices
were greater than the average market price of the underlying shares.
If you believe that Abercrombie
is undervalued at the current market price and therefore expect the stock to
rise, some of these underwater options may become exercisable, reducing the EPS
even further. You would be wise to make a provision for these in your
valuation [for instance, if you take the net income of $168,672,000 and divide
it by the diluted EPS of $1.65, you can see that management estimates the
possibility of a total of 102,225,454+ shares outstanding. You may want to
add the 5,630,000 underwater shares to this figure, making the fully diluted
outstanding shares stand at around 107,855,454. Now, taking the net income
of $168,672,000 and dividing it by the true fully diluted figure, you
would get diluted EPS of $1.56 instead of $1.65.]
Although there is a possibility
of these shares not being exercised, practiced conservatism can make a big
difference to your pocketbook over time.
Final Thoughts on the Company
A quick look at the income statement shows that sales, gross profit,
operating profit, and the basic and diluted EPS have increased steadily
for the past few years, even though the gross, operating, and profit
margins have fallen slightly. These factors, combined with the high
return on shareholders' equity should leave an investor fully satisfied
with the business. Management has clearly created shareholder
value by increasing the amount of equity on the balance sheet, and reinvesting
profits at a high rate of return. If the company's shares were to ever trade low
enough, an enterprising investor should have no problem holding Abercrombie in their
portfolio if the current conditions persists.
Next page > Brown Safety
- 2001 Income Statement> <<
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