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Cherry Pie: Basic vs.
Diluted Earnings per Share
When you analyze a company, you have to do it on two levels, the “whole
company” and the “per share”. If you decide ABC, Inc. is worth $5 billion as a
whole, you should be able to break it down by simply dividing the $5 billion
price tag by the number of shares outstanding. Unfortunately, it isn’t always
that simple.
Think of each business you
analyze as a cherry pie and each share of stock as a piece of that pie. All of
the company’s assets, liabilities, and profits are represented by the pie as a
whole. ABC’s pie is worth $5 billion. If the baker [management] slices the pie
into 5 pieces, each piece would be worth $1 billion [$5 billion pie divided into
5 pieces = $1 billion per slice]. Obviously, any intelligent connoisseur of
pastries would want to keep the baker from making too many slices so his or her
piece was as big as possible. Likewise, an ambitious investor hungry for returns
is going to want to keep the company from increasing the number of shares
outstanding. Every new share management issues decreases the investor’s “piece”
of the assets and profits a tiny bit. Over time, this can make a huge difference
in how much the investor gets to eat.
“How can management increase
the number of shares outstanding?” you may ask. There are four big knives
[perhaps “cleavers” would be a more appropriate term] in any management’s drawer
that can be used to add increase the number of shares outstanding: stock
options, warrants, convertible preferred stock, and secondary equity offerings
[all sound more complicated than they are]. Stock options are a form of
compensation that management often gives to executives, managers, and in some
cases, regular employees. These options give the holder the right to buy a
certain number of shares by a specific date at a specific price. If the shares
are “exercised” the company issues new stock. Likewise, the other three cleavers
have the same affect – the potential to increase the number of shares
outstanding.
This situation leaves Wall
Street with the problem of how much to report for the earnings per share figure.
In response, they came up with two sets of EPS numbers: basic EPS and diluted
EPS. The
basic figure is the total earnings per share based on the number of shares
outstanding at the time. The diluted EPS figure reveals the earnings per-share a business would have made if all stock options, warrants,
convertibles, etc. were invoked and the additional shares increased the total
shares outstanding. The percentage of a company that is represented by these
possible share dilutions is called “hang”.
Although ABC may have 5 shares
outstanding today, it may actually have the potential for 15 shares outstanding
during the next year. Valuation on a per-share basis should reflect the
potential dilution to each share. Although it is unlikely all of the potential
shares will be issued [the stock market may fall, meaning a lot of executives
won’t exercise the stock options, for example], it is important that you value
the business assuming all possible dilution that can take place will take place.
This practiced conservatism can mean the difference between mediocre and
spectacular returns on your investment.
Below is an excerpt from
Intel’s 2001 income statement.
|
Intel
Excerpt – 2001 Annual Report |
|
Earnings per
share from continuing operations |
2001 |
2000 |
|
Basic EPS |
$.19 |
$1.57 |
|
Diluted EPS |
$.19 |
$1.51 |
|
|
|
|
In 2000, the difference between
Intel’s basic and diluted EPS amounted to around $0.06. If you consider the
company has over 6.5 billion shares outstanding, you realize that dilution is
taking more than $390 million in value from current investors and giving it to
management and employees.
Next page >
Hiding Share Dilution:
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