| Analyzing Brown Safety | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Segment 2 - Applying What We've Learned - Investing Lesson 4 - Analyzing an Income Statement | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Those of you who looked closely at Brown's income statement may have caught on to my trick. Excellent job. If you didn't, let me explain. Deteriorating Core Operations In the most recent year, Brown realized $350,000 in investment income. Without this one-time boost to earnings, the company would have reported EPS of just over $0.01. To drive home what these means, assume Brown is trading at $5 per share [any number will do, this is solely for illustrative purposes]. A well-meaning but less-than-astute investor may scan the stock tables one morning and see that Brown is trading at a a p/e ratio of 1.8 [$5 per share ÷ $2.79 EPS]. He gets excited, throws up his hands and calls his broker to buy as many shares as possible. At this rate, he'd be earning 55.8% on his investment! Unfortunately, in a year or so, the investor will have a very unpleasant surprise. If the current decline in the core business persists, the company will report earnings of $0.005 [that's half a penny!] per share. This makes the p/e ratio 1,000! Instead of a 55.8% return on his investment in 2002, the shareholder will earn a pathetic .001%. He is going to lose a major portion, if not all, of his investment unless the business has a large portfolio of stocks and bonds that it can distribute to shareholders or continue selling for cash [as was the case of the Northern Pipe Line, an oil transportation company managed by the Rockefellers. The stock was trading at $65 per share when Benjamin Graham studied the balance sheet and realized the company had bond holdings worth $95 for each share. The value investor tried to convince management to sell the portfolio off, but they refused. Shortly thereafter, he waged a proxy war and secured a spot on the Board of Directors. The company sold its bonds off and paid a dividend in the amount of $70 per share.] The Moral Next page > Continue to the Quiz > << back, 41, 42, 43, 44, Quiz >>
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