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NAVIGATE INTERVIEW |
Part 1:A
Walk: Ellis' Story
Part 2:You
Can Do It
Part 3: Buy
from a Sucker
Part 4: Reader
Questions
*Part IV contains a printable version of this interview. | |
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With four sons about to enter college, Ellis Traub lost everything.
Today, he's a widely respected author, spokesman for the NAIC, and CEO of
Investware. Learn how you can avoid the same mistakes he did - and
save your pocketbook a lot of trouble.
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PROFILE |
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Name: Ellis Traub
Occupation: Author and CEO
Location: Davie, FL
Education: Harvard, Left School to Fight in the Korean War
There are only ten
terms that a person needs to know, all of them very intuitive.
They can be applied to any company, whether it's General Motors or
Lucy's Lemonade stand.".
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-Ellis Traub
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A Random Walk Down Wall
Street: Ellis' Story
JK: You were an
airline pilot for thirty-one years. What made you get involved in
finance and investing?
Traub:
I got involved in finance and
investing out of necessity. I made some serious investment mistakes when I
had four sons to send to college and lost nearly everything I had. That
experience frightened me out of the market for a decade and a half. When I
retired from the airline, I needed to take care of my pension and failed
again. Fortunately, I stumbled onto the National Association of Investors
Corporation (NAIC), a non-profit organization whose mission is to educate
amateur investors to be successful. NAIC turned my financial life around.
I was inspired to learn and teach their methods and wrote a software program
(to simplify calculations) that ultimately became the organizations
official stock analysis software. From that time forward, I've been
dedicated to helping others avoid the same mistakes I made and encouraging
them to find out how simple it is to invest successfully in common stocks.
JK: Your first experience with
investing is something that a lot of my readers can identify with. One of
your mistakes was investing on margin; could you tell us exactly what
happened?
Traub: During the
1972 presidential campaign, I met a young fellow who was a broker for a
major stockbrokerage firm. Concerned that I wouldnt have enough to send the
kids through school, I asked what I might do to beef up my savings. He
recommended that I invest my savings in a hot stock and hold it until two
weeks before the election at which time I should sell it for a huge profit.
His justification was that the incumbents would continue to pump up the
economy prior to the election.
I didn't have a clue and took his advice, selecting the stock that had the
biggest daily gain the previous day for my "hot stock."
Needless to say, that was a bad strategy and, when half of Wall Street lost
their proverbial shirts, I went along with them, not only having invested
all my savings but margining as much as I could and borrowing all I could on
my signature. When the dust cleared, I had a house, a car, the debt on them,
and fortunately a good job flying airplanes.
JK: Very early on in the book you mention the other mistakes you made
as a new investor. Everyday, people write in and they are doing the same
things you mention - would you mind repeating them here?
Traub: Those mistakes largely stemmed from my mistaken belief that
investing was above and beyond my ability, and the lack of basic investment
knowledge.
I didn't start early enough to invest regularly and intelligently. I sought,
listened to, and took the advice of someone that wasn't really qualified to
offer counsel. I invested without understanding what a share of stock was
and what I should expect of it. I sold it without understanding the proper
reasons for selling a stock. And I stayed out of the market during my most
productive years, losing the best opportunity to make money through
long-term stock ownership.
JK: Your first experience with the stock market scared you away for
more than fifteen years. Do you think that is a common thing with most new
investors?
Traub: I think we're seeing that happening right now. This is the
time people should review their holdings, keep the stocks with the best
potential, sell the losers (not those with the depressed prices but those
whose revenues and earnings aren't capable of growing adequately), and buy
others with better potential while they're selling cheap. Instead, people
are selling out and running. As simple as it is to learn how to make the
right decisions, read Take Stock to find out just how easy, there's
no reason for investors to go through the same experience as I did when they
can make those now and prosper.
JK: In the book you
mention that it was fortunate you didnt have access to your retirement
accounts, or else you would have thrown those into a hot stock as well. Does
this mean you think people should have a retirement account [such as a 401k
or IRA] separate from their everyday portfolio?
Traub: I think that folks should do anything they can to legitimately
and efficiently maximize their accumulation of funds so that they can
regularly invest a fixed amount. Certainly programs that offer matching
funds or corporate contributions accomplish both goals and add the benefit
of tax deferment as well.
The thrust of my comment is really that folks shouldn't jump into any "hot
stock" without knowing what they're doing. Had I known then what I now know,
I'd have done a better job of picking the company and stayed with it even if
the price went down, provided that the company's fundamentals remained as
sound as they were when I picked it. Id also have continued to invest on a
regular basis for the next fifteen years.
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