The Three Things That Determine Your Compound Interest ReturnsThere are three things that will influence the rate at which your money compounds. These are:
- The interest rate your earn on your investment or, alternatively, the profit you earn; e.g., if you are investing in stock, this would be your total profit from capital gains and dividends.
- The length of time you can leave your money to compound. The longer your money can remain uninterrupted, the bigger your fortune can grow. It's no different than planting a tree. Naturally, the tree is going to be larger when it is 50 years old than it was when it was 20 years old.
- The tax rate, and the timing of the tax, you have to pay to the government. You will end up with far more money if you don’t have to pay taxes at all, or until the end of the compounding period rather than at the end of each year. That's why accounts such as the Traditional IRA or Roth IRA, 401(k), SEP-IRA, and such are so important.
Compound Interest Results Over TimeThe best way to understand these concepts is to put them into a compound interest table that shows you just how substantially your wealth can be helped, or hindered, by small changes over time. Imagine you have an investor who sets aside a lump sum of $10,000. Take a look at the compound interest chart at the bottom of the page to see the influence of time and rate of return on his ultimate wealth. Once you understand this, it becomes evident that saving money alone doesn't explain why some people have bigger fortunes than others.
For instance, a 20 year old that invests $10,000 today and parks it in Treasury bills, earning 4% on average for the next 50 years, will find himself with $71,067 if the purchases were made through a tax-free account such as a Roth IRA. Had he invested in stocks and real estate, earning a 12% average rate of return as a result of riding out the fluctuations, he would have ended up with $2,890,022. Adding higher returning asset classes would result in 40.67 times more money thanks to the power of compound interest. If that doesn't convince you that taking the time to learn about and understand investing is worth the effort, I don't know if anything ever will. You'll have to console yourself as being part of the refrigerator problem.
Don't Fall Prey to the Temptation of Getting Higher Returns Through Higher RisksOne glance at the compound interest chart and you may want to do whatever it takes to earn the higher rate of return - in this case, 16%. That can be dangerous. Unless you know what you're doing, no matter how successful you are along the way, if you introduce wipe-out risk in your investments, any mistake, at any point in the chain of decisions between now and when you retire, you could destroy everything you built. In finance, 20%, 40%, 60% returns in the first years are great, but if there is a -80%, -90%, or -100% in there anywhere, it's game over because you will have lost your capital. Without capital, you can't make investments that will later grow.
Benjamin Graham was aware of this risk when he said that more money has been lost reaching for a little extra return or yield than has been lost to speculating. He warned that it is one of the greatest temptations new investors face when building a portfolio.
Compound Interest and the Time Value of MoneyThe concept of compound interest is the foundation of the time value of money, which states that the value of money changes to a person depending upon when it is received. Earning $100 today is preferable to earning $100 several years from now because if you have it in your hand immediately, you can invest it to generate dividends and interest income, you can spend it on things you want, you can pay down your debt to lower your interest expense, or you can give it to charity. By postponing the receipt of the $100, you are losing something economists call opportunity cost.
When you learn about the time value of money, you'll learn the formulas that actually show you how to calculate compound interest. This will empower you to answer questions such as, "If I need $1,000,000 for retirement thirty years from now and I can save $800 per month and earn 8% per year on my investments, will I reach my goal?" or "I'm putting $12,000 per year into variable annuities that I expect to earn 7% for 18 years. How much will they be worth, assuming I'm correct on my return estimate, when I'm ready to cash out of the investment?"
Compound Interest Tables - The Value of $10,000 Invested In a Lump Sum